- Papasok ba si María Corina Machado sa Venezuela pagsapit ng Oktubre 31?9¢9%
- Papasok ba si María Corina Machado sa Venezuela pagsapit ng Disyembre 31?33¢33%
María Corina Machado remains in exile in Panama after leaving Venezuela in December 2025, with at least seven documented attempts to return by air and sea blocked since then, including multiple efforts in September 2026 via routes through Aruba and Curaçao that faced cancellations and denied permissions. The interim government under Delcy Rodríguez, installed after the U.S. ouster of Nicolás Maduro in January 2026, controls entry points and has shown reluctance tied to Machado’s strong polling lead and opposition support. Recent opposition alliance reaffirmation of her leadership on October 18 and calls for protests demanding an election date and her return have not altered access barriers, while U.S.-backed transition talks proceed without her direct role. Traders price a low probability of entry by year-end deadlines due to these repeated institutional and diplomatic constraints, with any shift likely hinging on negotiation outcomes or policy changes in the coming months.
Mga panuntunan
Kung bibisita si María Corina Machado sa Venezuela sa pagitan ng paglikha ng market at Disyembre 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, mapagpapasyahan ang market na ito bilang "Oo". Kung hindi, maresolba ang market na ito bilang "Hindi". Para sa layunin ng market na ito, ang "pagbisita" ay nangangahulugan ng pisikal na pagpasok ni María Corina Machado sa kalupaan ng Venezuela. Walang magiging epekto sa positibong resolusyon kung papasok man o hindi si María Corina Machado sa airspace o teritoryong pandagat ng Venezuela sa panahon ng market na ito. Ang pangunahing mapagkukunan sa pagresolba ng market na ito ay ang pagkakasundo ng mga mapagkakatiwalaang ulat.
Awtomatikong salin. Kapag may alitan, ang orihinal ang masusunod.