Chen Ting-fei holds a commanding lead in the Tainan mayoral race according to recent polls, with support ratings around 45-59% against Hsieh Lung-chieh’s 22-34%, reflecting her strong Democratic Progressive Party base, higher favorability scores, and momentum as a potential first female mayor. Traders price her victory probability near 91% due to consistent leads across age groups and districts, endorsements from President Lai Ching-te, and active campaigning including street sweeps and policy outreach ahead of the November 28 vote. Minor candidates such as Yeh Jen-wen and Hsiao Lin-hung register negligible support. Late shifts among undecided voters, changes in turnout patterns, or unexpected developments in the final weeks could still alter the outcome in this closely watched local election.
Nakatakdang idaos ang mga lokal na halalan sa Taiwan sa Nobyembre 28, 2026. Magreresolba ang market na ito batay sa kandidatong magiging susunod na alkalde ng Tainan bilang resulta ng halalang ito. Hindi isasaalang-alang ang mga pansamantala, acting, o kapalit na alkalde na itinalaga bago ang halalan. Kung hindi pa alam ang resulta ng halalang ito, o walang kandidatong nahalal, pagsapit ng Hunyo 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, aayusin ang market bilang "Iba pa". Ire-resolve ang market na ito batay sa mga resulta ng halalan ayon sa pinagkakasunduang ulat ng mga mapagkakatiwalaang source. Kung may kalabuan, ire-resolve ang market na ito batay lamang sa mga opisyal na resultang iniulat ng pamahalaan ng Taiwan, partikular ng Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
Awtomatikong salin. Kapag may alitan, ang orihinal ang masusunod.