- Will Nancy Mace be the new Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?<1¢
- Will Joe Wilson be the new Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?<1¢
- Will Mark Lynch be the new Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?<1¢
- Will Paul Dans be the new Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?<1¢
- Will Ralph Norman be the new Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?32¢
- Will William Timmons be the new Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?<1¢
- Will Russell Fry be the new Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?<1¢
- Will Sheri Biggs be the new Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?<1¢
- Will Pamela Evette be the new Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?<1¢
- Will André Bauer be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?<1¢
- Will Alan Wilson be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?<1¢
- Will Scott Bessent be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?<1¢
This market will resolve according to the winner of the special Republican Primary for United States Senator from South Carolina, including any potential runoff. If no 2026 special South Carolina Republican Senate Primary takes place by November 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the candidate who is the official Republican nominee to contest the November 3, 2026 South Carolina U.S. Senate election. If the results of the special primary are not definitively known, or if there is no Republican nominee to contest the November 3, 2026 South Carolina U.S. Senate election, by November 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the South Carolina Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Darline Graham Nordone leads trader consensus in the South Carolina Republican Senate special primary market after advancing as the top vote-getter in the August 11 contest with roughly one-third of the vote. Appointed to the seat following Lindsey Graham's July death, she benefits from incumbency, family name recognition, and reported Trump endorsement as she faces Rep. Ralph Norman in today's August 25 runoff. Norman, who finished second in the initial primary at about 24 percent, has positioned himself as an alternative to establishment continuity but trails in current pricing. Other filed candidates, including several members of Congress and former officials, received minimal support and did not advance, leaving the contest effectively between the two runoff participants. The market reflects the narrow but clear edge for the appointed senator heading into the final vote.