- Hindi na ba magiging lider ng Conservatives si Poilievre pagsapit ng Disyembre 31, 2026?12¢12%
Pierre Poilievre retained his position as Conservative Party of Canada leader with an 87.4% vote in the January 2026 leadership review following the party's 2025 federal election loss to Mark Carney's Liberals. He subsequently won a by-election in Battle River—Crowfoot and continues to serve as the primary opposition voice on issues including affordability, immigration, trade relations with the United States, and national unity ahead of Alberta's referendum. While internal caucus frustration and unfavorable polling have surfaced in recent months, party sources indicate no organized effort or viable alternative to force a change. Traders assign a 92% probability that he remains in place through December 2026, reflecting the absence of scheduled leadership mechanisms or acute pressure that would alter his status before year-end.
Mga panuntunan
Maresolba ang market na ito bilang "Oo" kung hindi na lider ng Conservative Party of Canada si Pierre Poilievre sa anumang panahon mula nang gawin ang market hanggang sa tinukoy na petsa (ET). Kung hindi, maresolba ang market na ito bilang "Hindi". Kung iaanunsyo ang pagbibitiw o pagtanggal kay Pierre Poilievre bago ang petsa ng pagtatapos ng market na ito, agad itong maresolba bilang "Oo", anuman ang petsa kung kailan magkakabisa ang inianunsyong pagbibitiw o pagtanggal. Ang magiging batayan sa pagresolba sa market na ito ay ang opisyal na impormasyon mula kay Pierre Poilievre at sa Conservative Party of Canada; gayunman, maaari ring gamitin ang nagkakaisang ulat mula sa mga mapagkakatiwalaang tagapagbalita.
Awtomatikong salin. Kapag may alitan, ang orihinal ang masusunod.