- Mananalo ba si Chung Tung-chin sa susunod na halalan para sa mahistrado ng County ng Miaoli?91¢91%
- Mananalo ba si Chen Pin-an sa susunod na halalan para sa mahistrado ng County ng Miaoli?3¢3%
Chung Tung-chin maintains a commanding lead in trader pricing for the Miaoli County Magistrate election on November 28, 2026, reflecting Miaoli’s long-standing status as a KMT-leaning county with no non-KMT magistrate in living memory. As incumbent, he benefits from cross-party registration support from KMT and TPP figures in September, high local approval ratings exceeding 75 percent in recent county surveys, and satisfaction above 80 percent in areas such as agriculture, welfare, and tourism. His campaign emphasizes continuity on infrastructure and a “tourism and technology hub” vision, reinforced by a Blue-White alliance and strong grassroots organization. DPP challenger Chen Pin-an, a two-term councilor endorsed by President Lai Ching-te, focuses on central-government resource access and welfare proposals but faces structural headwinds in a historically competitive but KMT-dominant district. Late developments such as turnout shifts or unexpected controversies remain the primary variables that could alter the implied probability.
Mga panuntunan
Nakatakdang idaos ang mga lokal na halalan sa Taiwan sa Nobyembre 28, 2026. Maresolba ang market na ito batay sa kandidatong magiging susunod na Magistrate ng County ng Miaoli bilang resulta ng halalang ito. Hindi isasaalang-alang ang mga pansamantala, interim, o itinalagang kapalit na mahistrado na itinalaga bago ang halalan. Kung hindi pa alam ang resulta ng halalang ito, o walang kandidatong nahalal, pagsapit ng Hunyo 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, aayusin ang market bilang "Iba pa". Ire-resolve ang market na ito batay sa mga resulta ng halalan ayon sa pinagkakasunduang ulat ng mga mapagkakatiwalaang source. Kung may kalabuan, ire-resolve ang market na ito batay lamang sa mga opisyal na resultang iniulat ng pamahalaan ng Taiwan, partikular ng Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
Awtomatikong salin. Kapag may alitan, ang orihinal ang masusunod.