- Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C or higher on September 7?<1¢
- Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 19°C or below on September 7?<1¢
- Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 20°C on September 7?<1¢
- Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 21°C on September 7?<1¢
- Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on September 7?<1¢
- Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on September 7?2¢
- Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on September 7?98¢
- Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on September 7?<1¢
- Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on September 7?<1¢
- Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on September 7?<1¢
- Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on September 7?<1¢
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source. In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Strong model consensus across sources points to an overnight low near 24°C in Shanghai on September 7, 2026, under partly cloudy to clearing skies with northerly winds following recent light rain. Multiple forecasts, including those from WeatherBug, Met Office, and regional models, consistently project minimum temperatures of 23–24°C (roughly 73–75°F), reflecting typical early-September conditions after a period of humid, rainy weather on the 5th–6th. Northerly flow and reduced cloud cover overnight support radiative cooling to this level without significant cold-air advection. Trader positioning at 93.5% for 24°C reflects this alignment of ensemble guidance, though modest uncertainty remains from potential shifts in wind patterns or lingering moisture that could nudge the low 1–2°C lower or higher. Updated model runs and official observations on the morning of the 7th will provide the key resolution data.