President Lee Jae-myung’s Democratic Party holds a clear majority in the National Assembly, making it structurally difficult for the opposition People Power Party to secure the two-thirds vote required for impeachment. Recent polling shows his approval rating fluctuating in the mid-to-high 30s to low 40s, with no sustained collapse that would shift cross-party support. Opposition criticism has centered on budget debates, suspended criminal cases, and judicial nominations, but these have produced routine parliamentary friction rather than viable impeachment momentum. A 2026 petition drive reached signature thresholds yet stalled without committee advancement. Traders appear to view the combination of institutional barriers, party arithmetic, and absence of acute catalysts as preserving the current trajectory through the end of 2026.
Magreresolba ang market na ito bilang "Oo" kung pormal na i-impeach ng Pambansang Asembleya ng Timog Korea ang Pangulo ng Timog Korea na si Lee Jae-myung bago sumapit ang Disyembre 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Kung hindi, maresolba ang market na ito bilang "Hindi". Para maresolba ang market na ito bilang "Oo", kailangan lamang na maghain at magpatibay ng mosyon para sa impeachment laban kay Lee Jae-myung ang Pambansang Asembleya, anuman ang maging pasya ng Korte ng Konstitusyon kung pagtitibayin nito sa huli ang impeachment. Ang pangunahing sanggunian sa pagresolba sa market na ito ay ang opisyal na impormasyon mula sa pamahalaan ng Timog Korea, ngunit maaari ring gamitin ang nagkakaisang ulat mula sa mga mapagkakatiwalaang pinagmulan.
Awtomatikong salin. Kapag may alitan, ang orihinal ang masusunod.