Recent Migration Policy Institute analysis shows U.S. authorities completed roughly 980,000 deportations and returns from January 2025 through July 2026, placing the annualized pace for fiscal year 2026 at approximately 660,000—above prior years yet below the administration’s one-million target. Traders appear to weigh this shortfall alongside low border encounters, rising but still limited interior enforcement, expanded voluntary departures, and ongoing legal and logistical constraints when pricing the 400-500k range as the leading outcome for calendar 2026. White House statements citing higher cumulative removals have not shifted the market, as participants focus on verifiable removal counts versus broader enforcement actions. Interior arrests have increased in recent months, yet overall volumes remain tempered by court backlogs and resource allocation. No major policy shifts have occurred in the past week to alter this positioning.
Noong FY 2024, pinaalis ng ICE sa bansa ang 271,484 na hindi mamamayan (tingnan: https://www.ice.gov/doclib/eoy/iceAnnualReportFY2024.pdf). Maresolba ang market na ito batay sa bilang ng mga hindi mamamayang pinaalis sa bansa ng U.S. Immigration and Customs Enforcement (ICE) noong FY 2026. Ang magiging sanggunian sa resolusyon ay ang Taunang Ulat ng ICE para sa FY 2026. Kung hindi mailalathala ang Taunang Ulat ng ICE para sa FY 2026 bago sumapit ang Pebrero 28, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, gagamit ng isa pang mapagkakatiwalaang sanggunian sa resolusyon.
Awtomatikong salin. Kapag may alitan, ang orihinal ang masusunod.