Recent declines in the 30-year Treasury yield to 5.31% as of October 30 reflect softening near-term rate-hike expectations after the Fed’s September 25-basis-point increase to a 3.75–4.00% target range, alongside moderating inflation prints. Persistent upward pressure stems from resilient growth, elevated energy and AI-driven price pressures, rising term premiums tied to heavy Treasury supply amid widening fiscal deficits, and market-implied paths for the policy rate that exceed the FOMC median. Upcoming catalysts include the October employment report, November FOMC minutes and projections, and December inflation data, which could shift expectations for further tightening or a pause and thereby influence the yield’s lowest level before year-end.
Maaayos ang market na ito bilang "Oo" kung mas mababa sa nakalistang halaga ang yield ng Treasury (tagal ng maturity sa mga taon: 30) sa anumang petsa mula nang gawin ang market hanggang Disyembre 31, 2026. Kung hindi, maresolba ang market na ito sa "Hindi". Maresolba ang market na ito sa sandaling mas mababa sa nakalistang halaga ang yield ng Treasury na may habang 30 taon, o kapag available na ang datos para sa Disyembre 31, 2026. Kung walang nailathalang kwalipikadong halaga at hindi available ang data para sa Disyembre 31, 2026 pagsapit ng Enero 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, maresolba ang market na ito bilang "Hindi". Ang pinagmumulan ng datos para sa pagresolba sa market na ito ay ang Kagawaran ng Treasury ng US, partikular ang datos na nakalista sa ilalim ng "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" para sa kolum na "30 Yr" (tingnan: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2026).
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