- Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 27°C on September 7?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 28°C on September 7?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on September 7?2¢
- Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on September 7?10¢
- Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on September 7?30¢
- Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on September 7?43¢
- Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on September 7?13¢
- Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C on September 7?5¢
- Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 35°C on September 7?2¢
- Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 36°C or higher on September 7?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 26°C or below on September 7?<1¢
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source. In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent forecasts from the Shenzhen Meteorological Bureau and multiple models indicate a daytime high near 32°C on September 7, with partly cloudy skies, scattered showers or brief thunderstorms, and light winds that limit rapid warming or cooling. High humidity and residual moisture from September 6 rainfall are expected to moderate peak temperatures while preventing stronger daytime heating. This aligns with the market’s leading 32°C outcome at 43.5% implied probability, followed by 31°C, reflecting consensus around typical early-September subtropical conditions in the Pearl River Delta. Minor model spreads introduce limited upside risk to 33°C or downside to 31°C, but no major shifts in steering patterns or atmospheric stability have emerged in the latest runs to alter the central tendency.