- Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 25°C on September 3?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on September 3?24¢
- Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on September 3?7¢
- Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 23°C or below on September 3?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 28°C on September 3?10¢
- Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on September 3?28¢
- Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 26°C on September 3?1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 27°C on September 3?4¢
- Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 24°C on September 3?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C or higher on September 3?1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on September 3?24¢
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source. In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Forecast uncertainty among numerical weather models for Shenzhen on September 3 centers on the timing and coverage of scattered thunderstorms and associated cloud cover, which will determine peak daytime heating in the subtropical monsoon climate. Multiple guidance sources project highs clustered around 29–31°C, with convective activity and northwesterly flow potentially capping temperatures near 29°C or allowing brief clearing to reach 30–31°C. High humidity near 80% and light winds further modulate surface energy balance. Trader sentiment reflects this narrow spread, as small shifts in model consensus on precipitation timing or insolation could readily favor any of the three leading outcomes over historical early-September averages near 30°C. Updated regional forecasts tomorrow morning represent the next key data point.