- Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 26°C or below on September 4?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 28°C on September 4?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 29°C on September 4?1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 30°C on September 4?5¢
- Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 31°C on September 4?45¢
- Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 32°C on September 4?43¢
- Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 33°C on September 4?9¢
- Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 34°C on September 4?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 35°C on September 4?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 36°C or higher on September 4?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 27°C on September 4?<1¢
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Jinnah International Airport in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source. In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Latest forecast model consensus from sources including GFS and regional analyses supports a maximum temperature in Karachi on September 4 near 31–32°C under partly cloudy skies with moderate westerly winds near 15–25 km/h. This positioning reflects typical early-September conditions moderated by coastal humidity around 60–75% and limited daytime heating from cloud cover, aligning closely with the Pakistan Meteorological Department’s outlook for hot but not extreme weather. Historical September averages hover near 32°C, yet current steering patterns and sea-breeze influences favor the narrow range between 31°C and 32°C that dominates trader probabilities. Official station readings at the end of the day will determine resolution, with minimal chance of deviation into 33°C or higher absent unexpected clearing.