- Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 85°F or below on September 4?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 86-87°F on September 4?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 88-89°F on September 4?3¢
- Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 90-91°F on September 4?7¢
- Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 92-93°F on September 4?31¢
- Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 94-95°F on September 4?47¢
- Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 96-97°F on September 4?14¢
- Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 98-99°F on September 4?2¢
- Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 100-101°F on September 4?1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 102-103°F on September 4?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 104°F or higher on September 4?<1¢
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Sep '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button. If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source. In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F. This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent National Weather Service and model guidance for Dallas on September 4 points to a high near 94–95°F, with southerly flow, clearing skies after early clouds, and dew points in the low-to-mid 70s supporting heat indices above 100°F. This aligns with the September climatological average high of 93°F at DFW and follows a cooler, stormier September 3 that kept readings in the upper 80s. Ensemble consensus shows limited spread, with most runs avoiding both strong upper-level ridging that would push readings to 98°F+ and any late-day cooling or increased cloud cover that would cap the maximum near 92°F. Traders have concentrated probability on the 94–95°F bin because it matches the current official forecast envelope and the narrow uncertainty range typical for a 24-hour temperature outlook under stable late-summer conditions.