- Maglulunsad ba ang China ng ballistic missile bago sumapit ang Disyembre 31?9¢9%
China’s July 6, 2026, submarine-launched ballistic missile test into the Pacific remains the most recent major public launch, with Beijing describing it as routine annual training and issuing only short-notice notifications that drew criticism from the United States, Japan, Australia, and others. Subsequent activity through mid-October has centered on DF-26 readiness drills, coastal live-fire exercises, and routine PLA aircraft and naval patrols around Taiwan, without confirmed additional ballistic missile firings into international waters. These patterns of gray-zone operations and capability signaling, rather than new long-range tests, have shaped trader views that another launch before year-end is unlikely amid stable cross-strait dynamics and no evident escalation triggers in the final months of 2026.
Mga panuntunan
Mare-resolba ang market na ito bilang "Oo" kung maglulunsad ang China ng ballistic missile mula nang likhain ang market hanggang Disyembre 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Kung hindi, maresolba ang market na ito bilang "Hindi". Mga paglulunsad lamang ng ballistic missile ang magiging kuwalipikado para sa resolusyong "Oo", kabilang ang mga intercontinental ballistic missile (ICBM), submarine-launched ballistic missile (SLBM), at ballistic anti-ship missile. Hindi magiging kuwalipikado para sa resolusyong "Oo" ang mga paglulunsad ng iba pang sistema gaya ng cruise missile, surface-to-air missile (SAM), MLRS/rocket artillery, torpedo, at iba pa. Ibabatay ang resolusyon ng market sa impormasyong makukuha ng publiko mula sa mga mapagkakatiwalaang sanggunian, gaya ng mga opisyal na pahayag ng pamahalaan, mga ulat mula sa mga internasyonal na ahensiya ng pagsubaybay tulad ng United Nations, o mga ulat ng mga kilalang internasyonal na media.
Awtomatikong salin. Kapag may alitan, ang orihinal ang masusunod.