This market will resolve according to the number of times Volodymyr Zelenskyy (@ZelenskyyUa), posts on X between August 11, 12:00 PM ET and August 18, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Zelenskyy maintains a consistent posting cadence on X during active phases of the Russia-Ukraine conflict, typically issuing multiple daily updates in both Ukrainian and English on frontline developments, Russian strikes, drone and missile attacks, and partner coordination. Over the August 11–18 window, trader pricing centers on the 40–59 range because this aligns with his established pattern of several briefings per day on Donetsk sectors, long-range operations, and civilian impacts, often structured as paired language versions plus occasional video addresses. The secondary 60–79 band reflects the possibility of modestly elevated volume tied to intensified ballistic strikes or diplomatic outreach. No singular high-profile summit, election, or disruption has occurred in the immediate period to push counts outside these bands, while the broader context of sustained hostilities supports steady rather than outlier activity.