Zambia National Assembly Election: Party Winner
- Will UPND win the most seats in the 2026 Zambia National Assembly Election?>99¢
- Will NRPUP win the most seats in the 2026 Zambia National Assembly Election?1¢
- Will CF win the most seats in the 2026 Zambia National Assembly Election?<1¢
- Will SP win the most seats in the 2026 Zambia National Assembly Election?<1¢
Parliamentary elections to elect the National Assembly of Zambia are scheduled to take place on August 13, 2026. This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Zambia as a result of this election. The number of seats will include all members of the National Assembly of Zambia serving as a result of this election, including appointed members and those elected by proportional representation. If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose name as listed in this market appears first in alphabetical order. A constituency-elected member will count towards the party they registered to contest the election with. A member elected by proportional representation will count towards the party whose list they were elected from. A member appointed by the President will count towards the party of their personal affiliation if such affiliation is clear. If their affiliation is ambiguous or unclear, they will count towards the party of the President. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party. Independents will not count towards any party. This market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the results as reported by the Zambian government.
The United Party for National Development (UPND) holds a commanding lead in the National Assembly race, driven by its successful nomination process that left multiple candidates unopposed, combined with voter support for the incumbent administration’s economic reforms and debt restructuring efforts ahead of the August 13 vote. Opposition fragmentation, including the failure of major rivals to contest many constituencies, further limited challenges to UPND’s parliamentary position. Traders’ near-certain pricing reflects these structural and electoral advantages, though full seat tallies and any post-election disputes over specific constituencies could still influence final allocation if procedural reviews alter narrow margins.