WTA Tour
A. LiA. Krueger- Japan Women's Open: Ann Li vs Ashlyn Krueger62¢62%
- Set 2 Winner: Ann Li vs Ashlyn Krueger56¢56%
- Li vs. Krueger: Match O/U 21.556¢56%
- Set 1 Winner: Ann Li vs Ashlyn Krueger56¢56%
- Game Spread: Ann Li (-1.5) vs Ashlyn Krueger (+1.5)55¢55%
- Japan Women's Open: Completed Match: Ann Li vs Ashlyn Krueger50¢50%
- Li vs. Krueger: Match O/U 22.549¢49%
- Li vs. Krueger: Match O/U 23.544¢44%
- Ann Li vs. Ashlyn Krueger: Total Sets O/U 2.542¢42%
- Set Handicap: Ann Li (-1.5) vs Ashlyn Krueger (+1.5)37¢37%
- Li vs. Krueger: Set 1 Games O/U 8.574¢74%
- Li vs. Krueger: Set 1 Games O/U 9.549¢49%
Ann Li holds a clear edge in the Japan Women’s Open semifinal against Ashlyn Krueger on outdoor hard courts in Osaka, driven by a 2-0 head-to-head record that includes straight-sets wins in Beijing this month and earlier on clay. The higher-ranked American (around No. 25) has navigated a tougher path to the last four, including a three-set quarterfinal survival against Lilli Tagger after saving match points, while the No. 55 Krueger has dropped no sets through three rounds and dispatched fourth seed Talia Gibson convincingly. Both players enter with strong recent hard-court form, but Li’s greater experience and success against this specific matchup shape the current trader consensus around her favored implied probability.
Rules
This market refers to the tennis match between Ann Li and Ashlyn Krueger in the Japan Women's Open, originally scheduled for October 23, 2026 at 11:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "Over" if the total number of games completed in the first set equals or exceeds 9. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Under." Any first-set tiebreak counts as one (1) game. If the match is postponed or suspended, this market will remain open until the first set has been completed. A postponement alone will not trigger a 50-50 resolution. If the match is permanently abandoned before the first set is completed, or if the first set has not been completed by November 6, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50, unless the outcome has already been unconditionally determined based on completed play. An outcome is considered unconditionally determined if it would have been guaranteed under every possible completion of the set played according to the match format published by the tournament organizer for that round, including whether the set is decided by a tiebreak. For example, for a line of 9.5, if play stops with the first set at 5-4, completing the set would have required at least 1 additional game, resulting in at least 10 games played, so "Over" would resolve as the winning outcome. The primary resolution source for this market will be official WTA statistics; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. This market may resolve only when the listed period of play has concluded and the result can be definitively determined by the listed resolution source(s).