- Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30 PM on August 21?4¢
- Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30 PM on August 22?44¢
A "full lid" at the White House is an official announcement indicating that the President's public activities for the day have concluded and no further public events, appearances, or news are expected. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the White House Press Office calls a full lid for the specified date by 6:30 PM ET on that date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Only a full lid will qualify; lunch lids, intermissions, or any other press lid not explicitly listed as a full lid will not be sufficient to qualify this market towards a "Yes" resolution. This market will resolve according to the time listed by Roll Call of the first full lid called in the daily calendar (https://rollcall.com/factbase/trump/calendar/). If Roll Call does not list a lid time or is for any reason unavailable, this market will resolve according to Forth (https://www.forth.news/whpool).
The market centers on the White House Press Office's routine practice of declaring a full lid once the day's official schedule concludes, signaling no further public remarks, briefings, or announcements. In mid-August 2026, President Trump's calendar has featured standard closed-press items such as executive time, policy meetings, signing sessions, and occasional remarks or tele-rallies, with full lids typically issued between 5:30 PM and 6:22 PM Eastern on the dates tracked so far. Absent major diplomatic developments, legislative action, or unplanned events that extend operations past early evening, the press corps receives timely notice. The remaining days in the window follow similar patterns of in-town or routine activity, though any late-breaking policy decision or external development could delay a lid past 6:30 PM.