- Will all four home nations and Ireland qualify for Euro 2028?52¢52%
England, Scotland, Wales and the Republic of Ireland enter Euro 2028 qualifying as co-hosts with a UEFA safety net of two reserved spots for the highest-ranked among them that miss the 20 automatic berths. Northern Ireland, no longer a host after withdrawing from venue plans, must qualify on merit in the standard 12-group format starting March 2027. Recent Nations League and ranking data show the four hosts with strong implied qualification probabilities near 93 percent, while Northern Ireland sits near 48 percent, creating the close market balance. Key upcoming factors include the December 2026 qualifying draw, group compositions, and each side's form through the 2026-27 campaign that could shift Northern Ireland's odds or test the hosts' resilience in separate groups.
Rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if all five of England, Scotland, Wales, Northern Ireland and the Republic of Ireland are among the teams that take part in the UEFA Euro 2028 final tournament. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A team counts as taking part regardless of the route by which it reaches the final tournament, including qualifying as a group winner, qualifying as a best runner-up, winning a play-off, or taking one of the two places reserved for host nations. If at any point it becomes impossible for all five listed teams to take part in UEFA Euro 2028, this market will resolve immediately to "No". If UEFA Euro 2028 is cancelled, postponed after June 1, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, or the final tournament participants have not been officially confirmed by UEFA within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be official information from UEFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.