- Will Max Holloway fight Justin Gaethje next?21¢21%
- Will Max Holloway fight Ilia Topuria next?9¢9%
- Will Max Holloway fight Conor McGregor next?28¢28%
No fight has been officially booked for Max Holloway as of mid-October 2026, three months after his first-round TKO win over Conor McGregor at welterweight in July. This open timeline, combined with Holloway’s flexibility across lightweight and welterweight, has kept probabilities fragmented across many named options and “other.” McGregor leads named contenders at 33% on trilogy speculation and McGregor’s own hints, while Gaethje and Topuria sit lower due to past bouts without fresh momentum. Rising callouts from fighters like Quillan Salkilld and Salahdine Parnasse, plus Holloway’s interest in 2027 title paths, further spread trader consensus without a dominant signal. Any announcement of a date or opponent could quickly consolidate the market.
Rules
This market will resolve according to the next UFC fighter that Max Holloway is officially announced to face in a UFC bout. Resolution for this market will be based on the next UFC fighter that Max Holloway is officially announced to fight, regardless of whether the fight ends up taking place. Only official announcements from the UFC, which include a scheduled date for the bout, will count. Announcements with no date or which do not confirm that the fight is official, speculation, or other unofficial announcements will not count. If Max Holloway is officially announced to fight any non-listed fighter or no qualifying announcement is made by July 11, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.