- Will Ilia Topuria be the UFC Lightweight Champion on December 31, 2026?<1¢
- Will Arman Tsarukyan be the UFC Lightweight Champion on December 31, 2026?7¢
- Will Charles Oliveira be the UFC Lightweight Champion on December 31, 2026?<1¢
- Will Max Holloway be the UFC Lightweight Champion on December 31, 2026?<1¢
- Will Justin Gaethje be the UFC Lightweight Champion on December 31, 2026?87¢
- Will Paddy Pimblett be the UFC Lightweight Champion on December 31, 2026?<1¢
- Will Dan Hooker be the UFC Lightweight Champion on December 31, 2026?<1¢
- Will Mateusz Gamrot be the UFC Lightweight Champion on December 31, 2026?<1¢
- Will Benoît Saint Denis be the UFC Lightweight Champion on December 31, 2026?<1¢
- Will Rafael Fiziev be the UFC Lightweight Champion on December 31, 2026?<1¢
- Will Renato Moicano be the UFC Lightweight Champion on December 31, 2026?<1¢
- Will Mauricio Ruffy be the UFC Lightweight Champion on December 31, 2026?<1¢
Justin Gaethje holds the undisputed UFC lightweight title after his fourth-round TKO of Ilia Topuria in June 2026 at UFC Freedom 250, and the 37-year-old has confirmed he will not compete again in 2026 while openly weighing retirement. This leaves no title bout scheduled before the market resolves, anchoring trader consensus around his continued reign despite his advanced age and limited recent activity. Arman Tsarukyan leads the division in wins but lacks an immediate path to a fight, while other ranked contenders like Charles Oliveira and Paddy Pimblett focus on non-title bouts. A late-year return or retirement announcement could shift probabilities, yet the current absence of any booked defense sustains the heavy favoritism.
Rules
This market will resolve according to the official UFC Lightweight division champion on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET. Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count. If the relevant belt is vacant at this market’s check time, or there is otherwise no champion in the specified division, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).