This market will resolve according to the official UFC Bantamweight division champion on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET. Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count. If the relevant belt is vacant at this market’s check time, or there is otherwise no champion in the specified division, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).
Petr Yan leads the bantamweight title market at 62% as the reigning champion following his unanimous decision victory over Merab Dvalishvili at UFC 323 in December 2025, showcasing superior striking and defensive wrestling against elite pressure. The October 24 trilogy bout at UFC 333 in Abu Dhabi stands as the pivotal near-term factor, with traders viewing Yan’s power and fight IQ as decisive edges in a potential rubber match. Merab at 34.5% retains strong positioning through his high-volume grappling and prior title defenses, though recent comments highlight adjustments needed after the prior loss. Song Yadong’s third-round knockout of Umar Nurmagomedov at UFC Shanghai on August 29 has lifted him modestly to 3.7%, while Sean O’Malley at 1.9% and deeper contenders remain sidelined by recent form, injuries, or divisional depth.