Petr Yan holds the UFC bantamweight title after his unanimous decision victory over Merab Dvalishvili at UFC 323 in December 2025, a result that snapped Dvalishvili’s long winning streak and restored Yan’s standing with elite striking and takedown defense. Trader consensus at 61.5% for Yan and 36% for Dvalishvili reflects this recent form and their 1-1 series history heading into their October 24 trilogy at UFC 333. Lower probabilities for Sean O’Malley, Song Yadong, and Umar Nurmagomedov stem from prior title losses, inactivity, or ranking drops that limit their immediate path to the belt by year-end. The division’s depth and the high-stakes rematch underscore why outcomes remain tightly linked to Yan’s continued reign.
This market will resolve according to the official UFC Bantamweight division champion on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET. Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count. If the relevant belt is vacant at this market’s check time, or there is otherwise no champion in the specified division, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).