The non-partisan primary election for Governor of Alaska is scheduled to take place on August 18, 2026. The top four candidates in this election by number of votes won will advance to the general election for Governor of Alaska. This market will resolve to “Yes” If the listed candidate advances from the primary to the general election for Governor of Alaska. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”. If no 2026 Alaska gubernatorial primary takes place, this market will resolve to “No.” This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for Governor of Alaska as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Alaska, specifically the State of Alaska Division of Elections.
Alaska's August 18, 2026 top-four nonpartisan primary for governor features 17 candidates seeking the four spots that advance to the November ranked-choice general election. Incumbent Republican Mike Dunleavy is term-limited, opening the field to contenders including Democrat Tom Begich, Republicans Click Bishop, David Bronson, and Bernadette Wilson, and independent Bill Walker. Recent polls show a fragmented vote with Begich often leading but no candidate securing a dominant share, as multiple Republicans and a handful of Democrats split support. Late-campaign positioning, voter turnout among key blocs, and crossover appeal in the blanket primary will determine the final four amid limited remaining time before ballots close.