This market will resolve according to the number of times White House (@WhiteHouse), posts on X between August 7, 12:00 PM ET and August 14, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
The White House X account under the current administration maintains elevated posting volume through frequent updates on executive actions, economic metrics such as prescription drug costs and tariffs, foreign policy milestones including hostage returns, and promotional content tied to events like the Patriot Games. This pattern of multiple daily posts with media and policy framing has positioned the 200+ range as the leading outcome at 76% implied probability, with traders viewing the administration's digital strategy and recent announcements as sustaining momentum through the final day of the August 7-14 window. The narrower 180-199 band at 23.5% reflects only modest downside scenarios from any short-term slowdown. No major disruptions to routine messaging have emerged in recent days.