This market will resolve according to the number of times White House (@WhiteHouse), posts on X between August 14, 12:00 PM ET and August 21, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Traders price the 180-199 outcome highest because official White House accounts on X have maintained steady weekly output near that range during the current administration, reflecting routine announcements, policy updates, and engagement without major spikes or slowdowns. The period from August 14-21 falls in a standard mid-August window with no scheduled summits, legislative deadlines, or acute crises that would drive exceptional volume, consistent with patterns observed in early 2026 when @WhiteHouse activity exceeded prior baselines but remained within predictable bounds. The secondary 200+ probability incorporates scope for modest increases tied to routine executive actions or rapid-response messaging, while lower brackets align with historical minimums only if external factors sharply curtail posting.