This market will resolve according to the number of times White House (@WhiteHouse), posts on X between August 11, 12:00 PM ET and August 18, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
The current market consensus favoring 200+ White House social media posts for August 11-18 reflects traders' assessment of steady executive branch communications during a routine mid-August period. Official accounts typically maintain elevated output tied to daily briefings, policy updates, and scheduled events, with no major legislative votes, summits, or breaking developments in the past week altering the pace. Recent patterns show consistent volume from the administration on domestic priorities and international diplomacy, supporting the implied probability for higher totals. Lower ranges remain discounted absent any sudden escalation or announcement that could compress activity. Traders weigh this baseline against the remaining days in the window, where incremental posts on ongoing initiatives could still influence final resolution.