- Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening week in 2026?49¢
- Will The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping have the best domestic opening week in 2026?<1¢
- Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening week in 2026?52¢
- Will Dune: Messiah have the best domestic opening week in 2026?<1¢
- Will Toy Story 5 have the best domestic opening week in 2026?<1¢
This market will resolve according to the title of the movie which grosses more domestically on its opening week than any other movie in 2026. The “Weekly Box Office Performance” table on the page for the relevant movie on https://www.the-numbers.com/box-office will be used to resolve this market once the values for the opening week are final (i.e. not studio estimates). This market will resolve to "Yes" if the relevant movie grosses more on its domestic opening week than any other movie in 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekly Box Office Performance for the opening week, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc. Resolution will be based specifically on the figures provided for this movie's opening week. If another movie's opening week box office performance surpasses that of the named movie after numbers for both are finalized, this market may immediately resolve to "No". If this movie's opening weekend box office performance ties with any other's, the movie whose title comes first in alphabetical order will win. If there is no final data available by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
The tight contest between Avengers: Doomsday at 52% and Spider-Man: Brand New Day at 49% reflects Marvel's two biggest 2026 tentpoles vying for the year's largest opening week. Spider-Man: Brand New Day delivered a record-breaking July 31 debut with massive presales, strong reviews, and sustained audience turnout that established a high benchmark. Avengers: Doomsday counters with December 18 timing, multiversal crossover appeal, and Robert Downey Jr.'s return generating early ticket momentum ahead of its release. Dune: Messiah, Toy Story 5, and The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping trail far behind due to narrower audience reach and less event-level hype, leaving the outcome dependent on Doomsday's final presale surge and holiday performance.