- Will Lacy or Marlon die to a zombie?33¢
- Will Lacy or Marlon die to a skeleton?58¢
- Will Lacy or Marlon die to a spider?22¢
- Will Lacy or Marlon die to an enderman?32¢
- Will Lacy or Marlon die to a wither skeleton?6¢
- Will Lacy or Marlon die to a zombified piglin?18¢
- Will Lacy or Marlon die to an ender dragon?20¢
Lacy and Marlon started streaming a gaming marathon on September 1, 2026. They will attempt a challenge to beat Call of Duty: Warzone, Fortnite, and Minecraft. This market will resolve to "Yes" if a death message containing the specified mob's name is displayed for either Lacy or Marlon following an in-game Minecraft death between market creation and the end of the marathon. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Any death message containing the specified mob's name will count, including its plural and possessive forms, and regardless of how the mob caused the in-game death. The exact mob name must appear; a death message naming a different mob whose name contains the specified mob's name will not count. For example, an in-game death to a Wither Skeleton will not resolve "Skeleton" to "Yes," and an in-game death to a Cave Spider will not resolve "Spider" to "Yes." An in-game death seeming to be caused by the specified mob will not count if the mob's name does not appear in the death message. A death message produced by any means other than an actual in-game death, including chat messages, overlays, or messages triggered by commands, will not count. Only one qualifying in-game death is required, and it may be by either player. This market will resolve to "Yes" immediately upon a qualifying in-game death. An in-game death occurring on either Lacy's or Marlon's stream will count. Only in-game deaths occurring while at least one of the two players is broadcasting the challenge live will count. Footage of off-stream or previously recorded attempts will not qualify. If a qualifying death has not occurred since market creation and the marathon ends or is cancelled, this market will resolve to "No." If a qualifying death has not occurred since market creation and the marathon is still ongoing as of September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market will be the official broadcasts of Lacy and Marlon.
Creeper leads trader consensus at 99% implied probability in the Lacy and Marlon Minecraft Hardcore segment, driven by the mob’s explosive mechanics and frequency in survival worlds where base-building exposes players to surprise detonations. The duo entered this portion of their September 2026 gaming marathon after completing Warzone and Fortnite in roughly 25 hours on a single stream, shifting focus to cumulative deaths tracked via on-screen messages. Lacy’s competitive Fortnite background and the pair’s prior 2025 Minecraft marathon, which featured dozens of deaths over several days, underscore execution risks under fatigue. Skeleton follows at 53% amid ranged threats during exploration, while lower-priced outcomes like Enderman or Spider reflect situational variables such as night cycles, terrain, and limited recent Hardcore practice that heighten variance in death timing and cause.