Which company has the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) end of September?
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) at the end of September 2026?59¢
- Will Meta have the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) at the end of September 2026?<1¢
- Will Google have the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) at the end of September 2026?<1¢
- Will Alibaba have the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) at the end of September 2026?<1¢
- Will Moonshot have the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) at the end of September 2026?<1¢
- Will OpenAI have the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) at the end of September 2026?41¢
- Will Baidu have the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) at the end of September 2026?<1¢
- Will Z.ai have the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) at the end of September 2026?2¢
- Will Xiaomi have the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) at the end of September 2026?<1¢
- Will SpaceXAI have the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) at the end of September 2026?<1¢
- Will DeepSeek have the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) at the end of September 2026?<1¢
- Will Amazon have the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) at the end of September 2026?<1¢
This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model with the highest Overall score on LiveBench.ai when the leaderboard is checked on September 30, 2026, at 12:00 PM ET. Results from the “Overall” column of the leaderboard at https://livebench.ai/, with the latest available LiveBench release selected and the category set to “All,” will be used to resolve this market. Models will be ranked according to the specified score, with higher scores ranked ahead of lower scores. If two or more models have exactly the same score as displayed on the leaderboard, the model with the lower listed "cost per successful task" will be ranked ahead. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact score and cost per successful task, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking. The resolution source for this market is the LiveBench leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to “Other.”
Anthropic holds a narrow edge in trader sentiment at 58% implied probability due to Claude Fable 5 Max Effort currently leading LiveBench overall at 83.0, ahead of OpenAI’s GPT-5.6 Sol at 81.0, with strong showings in reasoning, coding, and agentic tasks. Recent July releases of Claude Opus 5 and OpenAI’s GPT-5.6 family have intensified competition on benchmarks emphasizing real-world performance, while lower-probability outcomes reflect limited recent frontier gains from other labs. With resolution at end of September still weeks away, traders are watching for post-training refinements or new model drops that could alter the tight gap before the leaderboard freezes.