Which company has the best AI model on LiveBench (Mathematics) end of October?
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model on LiveBench (Mathematics) at the end of October 2026?48¢
- Will Meta have the best AI model on LiveBench (Mathematics) at the end of October 2026?<1¢
- Will Google have the best AI model on LiveBench (Mathematics) at the end of October 2026?<1¢
- Will Alibaba have the best AI model on LiveBench (Mathematics) at the end of October 2026?<1¢
- Will Moonshot have the best AI model on LiveBench (Mathematics) at the end of October 2026?<1¢
- Will OpenAI have the best AI model on LiveBench (Mathematics) at the end of October 2026?52¢
- Will Baidu have the best AI model on LiveBench (Mathematics) at the end of October 2026?<1¢
- Will Z.ai have the best AI model on LiveBench (Mathematics) at the end of October 2026?<1¢
- Will Xiaomi have the best AI model on LiveBench (Mathematics) at the end of October 2026?<1¢
- Will SpaceXAI have the best AI model on LiveBench (Mathematics) at the end of October 2026?<1¢
- Will Microsoft have the best AI model on LiveBench (Mathematics) at the end of October 2026?<1¢
- Will DeepSeek have the best AI model on LiveBench (Mathematics) at the end of October 2026?<1¢
This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model with the highest Mathematics score on LiveBench.ai when the leaderboard is checked on October 31, 2026, at 12:00 PM ET. Results from the “Mathematics” column of the leaderboard at https://livebench.ai/#/?cats=Mathematics, with the latest available LiveBench release selected and the category set to “Mathematics,” will be used to resolve this market. Models will be ranked according to the specified score, with higher scores ranked ahead of lower scores. If two or more models have exactly the same score as displayed on the leaderboard, the model with the lower listed "cost per successful task" will be ranked ahead. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact score and cost per successful task, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking. The resolution source for this market is the LiveBench leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to “Other.”
OpenAI's slight edge in the LiveBench Mathematics market stems from strong recent showings by its GPT-5.6 Sol and GPT-5.5 variants on refreshed math tasks, which emphasize contamination-free competition problems and multi-step reasoning. Trader consensus reflects a tight race with Anthropic's Claude 5 Opus and Fable 5 models, which post comparable scores in the mid-90s on the category amid ongoing releases of high-effort reasoning configurations. Key differentiators include model scale, specialized training on symbolic math, and inference-time techniques like extended thinking modes that can shift rankings before the October cutoff. With probabilities clustered near 50%, upcoming benchmark refreshes and any new frontier releases from OpenAI or Anthropic represent the main swing factors traders are monitoring.