- Will Warsh say "Independent" or "Independence" during Jackson Hole speech on August 28?74¢
- Will Warsh say "2008" or "Financial Crisis" during Jackson Hole speech on August 28?46¢
- Will Warsh say "Good Day" during Jackson Hole speech on August 28?35¢
- Will Warsh say "Good Morning" during Jackson Hole speech on August 28?59¢
- Will Warsh say "Trump" during Jackson Hole speech on August 28?4¢
- Will Warsh say "Bitcoin" or "Crypto" or "Cryptocurrency" during Jackson Hole speech on August 28?16¢
- Will Warsh say "Gold" during Jackson Hole speech on August 28?12¢
- Will Warsh say "Too Late" during Jackson Hole speech on August 28?8¢
- Will Warsh’s remarks not air?50¢
- Will Warsh say "Framework" during Jackson Hole speech on August 28?75¢
- Will Warsh say "Prediction" or "Predictive" during Jackson Hole speech on August 28?28¢
- Will Warsh say "CapEx" or "Capital Expenditure" during Jackson Hole speech on August 28?48¢
Kevin Warsh is scheduled to deliver a speech at the Jackson Hole Economic Policy Symposium on August 28, 2026, 10 AM ET. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Warsh says the listed term during his appearance at this event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". If this event is definitely cancelled, or otherwise is not aired by August 29, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, "-No Qualifying Event-" will resolve to "Yes" and all other brackets will resolve to "No". The resolution source is the audio/video of the listed event. For full rules, see: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Event+Mentions+Contract+DeFi.pdf
Kevin Warsh’s first Jackson Hole keynote on August 28, his initial major address since becoming Fed Chair in May 2026, centers trader attention on whether he will outline a monetary-policy regime shift. Recent statements emphasize framing long-term structural questions over near-term rate signals, with the Fed explicitly “not constrained by market prices,” a stance that markets have interpreted as potentially hawkish. This aligns with the new, leaner communications approach featuring shorter FOMC statements, reduced forward guidance, and continued post-meeting press conferences. July CPI data showing easing inflation and a 9-3 hold decision at 3.50-3.75 percent provide the immediate backdrop, while dissenters favoring a hike highlight internal divisions. The symposium’s focus on financial innovation and the September FOMC meeting with updated projections will shape how any framework comments on inflation targeting or process reforms are priced into Treasury yields and rate-path expectations.