- Will "The Last House" be the top US Netflix movie this week?<1¢
- Will "Don’t Say Good Luck" be the top US Netflix movie this week?93¢
- Will "Extinction" be the top US Netflix movie this week?<1¢
- Will "Arthur the King" be the top US Netflix movie this week?<1¢
- Will "Freefall: A Reckoning for Boeing" be the top US Netflix movie this week?<1¢
- Will "To Catch a Cheater" be the top US Netflix movie this week?5¢
Netflix is expected to update its Top 10 movies list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, August 25, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday). This market will resolve based on which movie this update ranks as the #1 US Netflix movie. If multiple movies tie for #1, this market will resolve according to the movie whose listed title comes first alphabetically. The ranking is based on total views in the United States, as reported by Netflix for US Top 10 Movies. If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by August 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Don’t Say Good Luck holds a dominant 93% implied probability as the top U.S. Netflix movie this week, driven by its August 14 release, strong critical reception including a 94% Rotten Tomatoes score, and appeal as a heartfelt musical teen dramedy from Happy Madison Productions starring Sunny Sandler and Melanie Lynskey. Traders see sustained momentum from fresh marketing, high initial streaming engagement, and its positioning as a timely family-oriented original amid summer viewing patterns. An upset remains possible if a newer thriller like To Catch a Cheater accelerates in the final days of the tracking period, or if established catalog titles experience an unexpected late-week surge that shifts the weekly average.