- Will "The Last House" be the top global Netflix movie this week?17¢
- Will "Extinction" be the top global Netflix movie this week?<1¢
- Will "Arthur the King" be the top global Netflix movie this week?<1¢
- Will "Don't Say Good Luck" be the top global Netflix movie this week?85¢
- Will "Freefall: A Reckoning for Boeing" be the top global Netflix movie this week?<1¢
- Will "To Catch a Cheater" be the top global Netflix movie this week?<1¢
Netflix is expected to update its global Top 10 movies list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, August 25, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday). This market will resolve based on which movie this update ranks as the #1 global Netflix movie. If multiple movies tie for #1, this market will resolve according to the movie whose listed title comes first alphabetically. The ranking is based on total views globally, as reported by Netflix for Global Top 10 Movies (English only). If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by August 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Don't Say Good Luck leads market-implied odds at 84% after its August 14 Netflix debut, driven by strong initial viewership, positive critical reception including a 94-97% Rotten Tomatoes score, and its family-friendly coming-of-age dramedy appeal with musical elements starring Sunny Sandler. The film quickly climbed charts with 8.1 million views in its first tracked week, positioning it to potentially overtake current frontrunner The Last House (16.5%), which holds top global rankings with 33.5 million views but lacks comparable recent momentum. Lower-probability titles like Extinction and Freefall: A Reckoning for Boeing remain sidelined by minimal engagement. Traders are pricing in the new release's trajectory ahead of the week's chart lock, where streaming metrics and word-of-mouth could still shift outcomes in a competitive field.