WA-06 House Election Winner

Name: WA-06 House Election Winner
Start: 2026-01-28T22:20:08.544027Z
End: 2026-11-03T00:00:00Z

PoliticsElectionsUS ElectionMidtermsNov 4 ElectionsHouse ElectionsWashington Midterm

Start Date

2026-01-28

End Date

2026-11-03

24h Volume

$6K

Total Volume

$23K

Will the Republican Party win the WA-06 House seat?5¢
Will the Democratic Party win the WA-06 House seat?95¢

This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026. A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).

Incumbent Democrat Emily Randall advanced from the August 4, 2026 top-two primary with roughly 60% of the vote in Washington's 6th congressional district, facing Republican Teresa Fox in the November 3 general election. The district carries a D+10 Partisan Voter Index based on recent presidential results, and nonpartisan forecasters including the Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic. Randall's primary margin and the district's consistent partisan lean underpin trader consensus around a 94-95% implied probability for the Democratic nominee. A Republican upset would require either a substantial national shift favoring the party or an unforeseen development such as a major scandal or health event affecting the incumbent between now and Election Day.