This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed player clinches a spot in the Semifinals at the 2026 US Open per US Open rules. Otherwise, the associated market will resolve to "No". If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed player to clinch a spot in the Semifinals at the 2026 US Open (e.g. the player is eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No". If the 2026 US Open is cancelled, postponed after September 27, 11:59 PM ET, or the players that qualified for the Semifinals have not been officially confirmed by the USTA within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the USTA and WTA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Aryna Sabalenka enters as the two-time defending champion and world No. 1 but arrives with inconsistent hard-court results since her March Miami title, including a straight-sets Cincinnati loss. Coco Gauff carries strong recent momentum after claiming the Cincinnati title without dropping a set in the knockout rounds and defeating Jessica Pegula in the final. Elena Rybakina carries injury concerns after retiring from her Cincinnati quarterfinal, while Iga Swiatek appears fatigued following a grueling semifinal there. The August 27 draw will shape paths, with top seeds generally favored to reach the semifinals on the outdoor hard courts but vulnerable to form dips or physical issues among the leading contenders.