UEFA Nations League · Round 5Italy — France
Italy1-0-1 · home
France2-0-0 · away- Will Italy win on 2026-11-12?27¢27%
- Will Italy vs. France end in a draw?27¢27%
- Will France win on 2026-11-12?48¢48%
France leads UEFA Nations League Group A1 with 10 points from four matches and can clinch top spot with a victory, while Italy sits second on seven points ahead of a final group fixture away to Belgium. The sides drew 1-1 in Paris last month, with Michael Olise’s strike canceled out by Alessandro Bastoni after Dayot Upamecano’s late red card. Zinedine Zidane’s France have won three of four group games, including a 4-1 thrashing of Belgium, despite absences such as Kylian Mbappé and Ousmane Dembélé. Italy’s defense has looked porous in recent internationals, though the Azzurri show attacking promise through players like the Esposito brothers and Riccardo Calafiori at San Siro. Trader consensus reflects France’s greater consistency and squad depth against Italy’s home push.
Rules
In the upcoming UEFA Nations League game between Italy and France, originally scheduled for Thursday, November 12, 2026 at 2:45 PM ET (as of creation of the first market related to the event): If France wins, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If this market's outcome was definitively determined under its rules by the listed resolution sources before abandonment, that outcome will stand. Otherwise, the following no-result provisions apply. If the game is canceled, does not start by Saturday, November 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or is abandoned with no official result by that time, this market will resolve to "No". The following abandonment rules apply only when this market's outcome was not already definitively determined under its rules before abandonment. If the game is abandoned, this market will resolve according to the official ruling of the governing body or event organizers on the abandoned game. If a result is awarded by Saturday, November 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET that determines this market's outcome, this market will resolve based on the awarded result, regardless of the score as played. If no such result is awarded and the result as played at the time of abandonment is declared to stand by Saturday, November 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on the game as played. If the game is replayed or resumed from the point of abandonment and has an official result by Saturday, November 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on the completed result. In any other case, this market will resolve to "No". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor names, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences in a team's or player's name will not affect resolution, provided the intended team or player can be clearly and uniquely identified as a participant in the listed fixture or competition. If a listed name has no reasonable connection to any participant, or could reasonably refer to more than one participant such that the intended team or player cannot be determined, this market will resolve as it would if the listed fixture had been canceled entirely; a listed participant who cannot be identified does not count as inactive or absent. The primary resolution source for this market will be official match information from UEFA Nations League (https://www.uefa.com/uefanationsleague/). If the governing body or event organizers have not published final statistics within 2 hours of the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve to "No".