This market will resolve to "Xiao Long" if Xiao Long is officially declared the winner of the fight against Francesco Nuzzi at UFC Fight Night: Nurmagomedov vs. Song, scheduled for August 29, 2026. It will resolve to "Francesco Nuzzi" if Francesco Nuzzi is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond September 12, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Xiao Long enters this bantamweight prelim with a clear experience edge at 1-2 inside the Octagon, including a recent unanimous decision loss to Cody Garbrandt and another to SuYoung You after a third-round KO win over Quang Le. Francesco Nuzzi makes his UFC debut on short notice after the August 19 booking, arriving with an 11-2 record (2 NC) built on finishes in Cage Warriors and PFL, though his latest outing ended in a low-blow no contest. The Shanghai event grants Xiao a home-country setting and familiarity with Octagon pacing that Nuzzi has yet to face, while Nuzzi’s striking power and submission threat create realistic upset paths in a matchup where recent form and promotional seasoning shape the prevailing trader consensus.