UFC
Thomas Petersen11-5-0
Gabriel Lorenço8-1-0- UFC Fight Night: Thomas Petersen vs. Gabriel Lorenço (Heavyweight, Prelims)62¢62%
- Fight to Go the Distance?37¢37%
- Will the fight be won by KO or TKO?51¢51%
- Will Thomas Petersen win by KO or TKO?35¢35%
- Will Gabriel Lorenço win by KO or TKO?35¢35%
- Will the fight be won by submission?28¢28%
- O/U 0.5 Rounds70¢70%
- O/U 1.5 Rounds56¢56%
- O/U 2.5 Rounds44¢44%
- Will the fight be won by decision?40¢40%
- Will the fight end before Round 2?27¢27%
- Will the fight end before Round 3?49¢49%
This market will resolve to "Thomas Petersen" if Thomas Petersen is officially declared the winner of the fight against Gabriel Lorenço at UFC Fight Night: Cortes Acosta vs. Walker, scheduled for November 7, 2026. It will resolve to "Gabriel Lorenço" if Gabriel Lorenço is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond November 21, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Gabriel Lorenço steps into his UFC debut on short notice against Thomas Petersen after replacing Alvin Hines, bringing an eight-fight win streak and seven first-round finishes from regional and DWCS bouts. The 27-year-old Brazilian orthodox striker averages nearly 10 significant strikes per minute with heavy knockout power, contrasting Petersen’s southpaw wrestling approach and 3 takedowns per 15 minutes. Petersen enters off a first-round calf-slicer submission loss to Valter Walker in July and holds a 3-4 UFC record with multiple early defeats. The three-round heavyweight prelim at the November 7 Apex card highlights Lorenço’s finishing upside against Petersen’s need to mix grappling to avoid stand-up exchanges.
Rules
Each market will resolve to "Over" if the fight between Thomas Petersen and Gabriel Lorenço at UFC Fight Night: Cortes Acosta vs. Walker, scheduled for November 7, 2026, lasts beyond the listed round threshold. Each market will resolve to "Under" if the fight does not last beyond the listed round threshold. For example: "Over 0.5 Rounds" will resolve "Yes" if the fight continues past the 2:30 mark of Round 1. "Under 0.5 Rounds" will resolve "Yes" if the fight ends before the 2:30 mark of Round 1. If the fight ends exactly at the threshold, it will resolve "50-50." If the bout is not scored, postponed beyond November 21, 2026, or canceled, all options will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.