UFC
Renato Moicano21-7-1
Tom Nolan ✓11-1-0- Will Tom Nolan win by KO or TKO?100¢100%
- O/U 1.5 Rounds100¢100%
- O/U 0.5 Rounds100¢100%
- Will the fight be won by KO or TKO?100¢100%
- Will the fight end before Round 4?100¢100%
- Will Tom Nolan win in Round 3?100¢100%
- Will the fight end before Round 5?100¢100%
- UFC Fight Night: Renato Moicano vs. Tom Nolan (Lightweight, Main Card)0¢0%
- Fight to Go the Distance?0¢0%
- Will Tom Nolan win in Round 4?0¢0%
- Will Renato Moicano win by KO or TKO?0¢0%
- O/U 2.5 Rounds0¢0%
This market will resolve to "Renato Moicano" if Renato Moicano is officially declared the winner of the fight against Tom Nolan at UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. Nolan, scheduled for October 31, 2026. It will resolve to "Tom Nolan" if Tom Nolan is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond November 14, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Renato Moicano faces surging lightweight prospect Tom Nolan in the UFC Vegas 123 main event at the Meta APEX, where trader consensus shows near-even implied probabilities reflecting the veteran’s grappling expertise against the 11-year-younger Australian’s striking length and five-fight win streak. Moicano accepted the bout after Brian Ortega withdrew twice from prior bookings, prioritizing activity over a delayed money fight, while Nolan relocated camps and earned his first five-round opportunity after ranking climbs following a decision over Fares Ziam. Official weigh-ins confirmed both fighters at or near 156 pounds with no late scratches, and Moicano’s submission-heavy style plus experience in extended rounds contrast Nolan’s reach advantage and finishing threat in what remains a high-variance lightweight clash.
Rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the fight between Renato Moicano and Tom Nolan at UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. Nolan, scheduled for October 31, 2026, ends by KO or TKO, including referee stoppage, doctor stoppage, or corner stoppage. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." If the fight ends in a draw or by disqualification (either fighter), it will resolve "No." If the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond November 14, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.