This market will resolve to "Liu Ce" if Liu Ce is officially declared the winner of the fight against Levi Rodrigues Jr. at UFC Fight Night: Nurmagomedov vs. Song, scheduled for August 29, 2026. It will resolve to "Levi Rodrigues Jr." if Levi Rodrigues Jr. is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond September 12, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Liu Ce holds a modest edge in trader consensus for this light heavyweight matchup at UFC Shanghai, driven by his significant height and reach advantages (listed around 6'3"-6'5" with 77-78" reach) plus a home-country performance boost in China. The 29-year-old Chinese striker enters on a first-round TKO win in May 2026 and brings an 18-3 kickboxing pedigree as a former K-1 champion, with all three MMA victories coming via knockout. Levi Rodrigues Jr., a 5-1 Brazilian finisher replacing Junior Tafa on short notice, carries knockout power but arrives off a second-round TKO loss in his July 2026 UFC debut where fatigue became an issue after a strong start. Both fighters have 100% finish rates in wins, pointing to potential early action, though Rodrigues' limited preparation time and recent octagon setback factor into the pricing.