- Will the Centre Party (C) win the fifth most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?100¢100%
- Will the Liberals (L) win the fifth most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?0¢0%
- Will the Green Party (MP) win the fifth most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?0¢0%
- Will the Left Party (V) win the fifth most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?0¢0%
- Will the Christian Democrats (KD) win the fifth most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?0¢0%
- Will the Moderate Party (M) win the fifth most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?0¢0%
- Will the Sweden Democrats (SD) win the fifth most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?0¢0%
- Will the Citizens' Coalition (MED) win the fifth most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?0¢0%
- Will the Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) win the fifth most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?0¢0%
- Will Party A win the fifth most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?0¢0%
- Will Party B win the fifth most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?0¢0%
- Will Party C win the fifth most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?0¢0%
Sweden’s September 13 parliamentary election produced a seat distribution that placed the Centre Party fifth among the eight parties clearing the 4% threshold. With 99.9% of votes counted, Centre secured 25 seats on 7.0% of the vote, ahead of the Christian Democrats and Greens on 22 seats each and the Liberals on 19. This ranking reflects stable pre-election polling trends in which Centre consistently polled between the Left Party’s stronger showing and the smaller parties clustered near the threshold. Late-arriving overseas and advance ballots have not altered the order to date. A reversal would require an unprecedented recount outcome or disqualification affecting multiple smaller parties, neither of which has precedent in recent Swedish elections.
Rules
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the fifth-greatest number of seats in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag) in this election. If voting in the Swedish parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the fifth finishing position after applying this ranking. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).