- Will Ralph Norman win Lexington County in the South Carolina Special Senate Primary runoff?5¢
- Will Darline Graham Nordone win Lexington County in the South Carolina Special Senate Primary runoff?88¢
This market will resolve according to the candidate who receives the most valid votes from Lexington County in the Special Republican Primary Runoff for United States Senator from South Carolina, which is scheduled to be held on August 25, 2026. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the Lexington County results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other." This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of South Carolina, including the Election Commission and the government of Lexington County.
Darline Graham Nordone holds a commanding position in Lexington County for the August 25 Republican runoff due to her residence there, strong first-round performance, and broad institutional backing. She captured the county outright in the August 11 primary as the top vote-getter statewide at roughly 33 percent, outpacing Ralph Norman’s 25 percent finish and advancing comfortably ahead of other contenders including Russell Fry. Her Trump endorsement and recent support from Fry have reinforced momentum among Republican voters, while Norman’s narrower geographic base—concentrated in the Upstate and his home district—limits his reach in the Midlands. The short campaign window, limited early voting period ending August 21, and upcoming debate have kept focus on these established factors rather than introducing major shifts. Trader consensus prices reflect the structural advantages and recent county-level results that position Nordone as the clear leader locally.