- Will Ralph Norman win Greenville County in the South Carolina Special Senate Primary runoff?97¢
- Will Darline Graham Nordone win Greenville County in the South Carolina Special Senate Primary runoff?2¢
This market will resolve according to the candidate who receives the most valid votes from Greenville County in the Special Republican Primary Runoff for United States Senator from South Carolina, which is scheduled to be held on August 25, 2026. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the Greenville County results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.” This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of South Carolina, including the Election Commission and the government of Greenville County.
Ralph Norman maintains a commanding lead in Greenville County for the August 25 South Carolina Republican Senate special primary runoff, reflecting his strong performance in the August 11 first round where he captured 40% of the local vote against Darline Graham Nordone’s 23%. As the U.S. representative from the adjacent 5th district, Norman benefits from established conservative support in the upstate region, recent straw poll victories among local Republicans, and name recognition built during his prior statewide gubernatorial bid. Traders assign him over 96% probability of carrying the county because these factors have produced consistent advantages in similar Republican primaries. A shift would require unusually high turnout favoring Nordone or a late surge in her statewide momentum overcoming the county’s established voting patterns.