- Will Ralph Norman win Charleston County in the South Carolina Special Senate Primary runoff?18¢
- Will Darline Graham Nordone win Charleston County in the South Carolina Special Senate Primary runoff?80¢
This market will resolve according to the candidate who receives the most valid votes from Charleston County in the Special Republican Primary Runoff for United States Senator from South Carolina, which is scheduled to be held on August 25, 2026. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the Charleston County results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other." This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of South Carolina, including the Election Commission and the government of Charleston County.
Darline Graham Nordone holds a strong edge in Charleston County for the August 25 Republican runoff due to her dominant primary performance there, where she outperformed competitors including former Gov. Mark Sanford in the Lowcountry county she carried overall. Her position benefits from the late Sen. Lindsey Graham’s family ties, gubernatorial appointment as interim senator, President Trump’s endorsement, and recent backing from third-place finisher Rep. Russell Fry. Ralph Norman draws support mainly from Upstate strongholds like York County but trails in Lowcountry areas, with limited outside spending compared to pro-Nordone super PACs. The compressed timeline, ongoing early voting through August 21, and county-level voter patterns from the August 11 primary reinforce trader consensus around these probabilities ahead of the head-to-head contest.