- Will André Moura win the second-most votes in the 2026 Sergipe Senate election?14¢
- Will Coronel Rocha win the second-most votes in the 2026 Sergipe Senate election?<1¢
- Will Delegado Alessandro win the second-most votes in the 2026 Sergipe Senate election?2¢
- Will Delegado André David win the second-most votes in the 2026 Sergipe Senate election?5¢
- Will Eduardo Amorim win the second-most votes in the 2026 Sergipe Senate election?12¢
- Will Edvaldo win the second-most votes in the 2026 Sergipe Senate election?<1¢
- Will Iran Barbosa win the second-most votes in the 2026 Sergipe Senate election?1¢
- Will Paulinho da União Tur win the second-most votes in the 2026 Sergipe Senate election?2¢
- Will Renatinha win the second-most votes in the 2026 Sergipe Senate election?1¢
- Will Rodrigo Valadares win the second-most votes in the 2026 Sergipe Senate election?6¢
- Will Rogerio Carvalho win the second-most votes in the 2026 Sergipe Senate election?66¢
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Sergipe is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Recent polls from early August, including Real Time Big Data, show a fragmented field for Sergipe’s two Senate seats, with Delegado André David (Republicanos) narrowly ahead in the low-to-mid teens, followed closely by André Moura (União Brasil), Eduardo Amorim (Republicanos), Rodrigo Valadares (PL), Delegado Alessandro (MDB), and Rogério Carvalho (PT). Vote splitting among right-leaning options and elevated undecided responses keep the contest open ahead of the October 4 election. Traders price Carvalho highest for second place, consistent with his steady single-digit to low-double-digit support in surveys and the two-vote structure that rewards consolidated opposition to the frontrunner. Candidacy registrations closed in mid-August, formalizing an 11-candidate slate with limited time for further consolidation before official campaigning intensifies.