- Will Bartô Macuxi win the most votes in the 2026 Roraima Senate election?<1¢
- Will Chico Rodrigues win the most votes in the 2026 Roraima Senate election?<1¢
- Will Helena da Asatur win the most votes in the 2026 Roraima Senate election?3¢
- Will Hiperion de Oliveira win the most votes in the 2026 Roraima Senate election?<1¢
- Will Márcio Junqueira win the most votes in the 2026 Roraima Senate election?<1¢
- Will Mario Rocha win the most votes in the 2026 Roraima Senate election?<1¢
- Will Rogério Miranda win the most votes in the 2026 Roraima Senate election?1¢
- Will Teresa Surita win the most votes in the 2026 Roraima Senate election?56¢
- Will Helio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the 2026 Roraima Senate election?37¢
- Will Hilton Xavier win the most votes in the 2026 Roraima Senate election?<1¢
- Will Nicoletti win the most votes in the 2026 Roraima Senate election?<1¢
- Will Pastor Isamar win the most votes in the 2026 Roraima Senate election?<1¢
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Roraima is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Teresa Surita holds a modest lead in the Roraima Senate race as the MDB's confirmed candidate following her party's August convention, though alliance fractures with Governor Soldado Sampaio—who publicly backed Pastor Isamar and Helena da Asatur—have introduced uncertainty and limited her consolidation of support. Multiple PL contenders, including Hélio Lopes (often referenced as Hélio Bolsonaro) and Nicoletti, draw from overlapping bases while smaller candidates such as Chico Rodrigues and Rogério Miranda further fragment the field ahead of the October 4 vote for the two seats. Traders price Surita as the narrow front-runner at 54% for first place, with Lopes at 37%, reflecting the competitive dynamics, limited recent polling separation, and potential for late shifts from endorsements or turnout among key regional blocs.