- Will Clóvis Costa do Coletivo Nós win the second-most votes in the 2026 Rio Grande do Norte Senate election?<1¢
- Will Coronel Hélio win the second-most votes in the 2026 Rio Grande do Norte Senate election?<1¢
- Will Gari Wendell Batista win the second-most votes in the 2026 Rio Grande do Norte Senate election?<1¢
- Will Linhares Jiboia win the second-most votes in the 2026 Rio Grande do Norte Senate election?<1¢
- Will Luciana Mandu win the second-most votes in the 2026 Rio Grande do Norte Senate election?<1¢
- Will Professor Guilherme win the second-most votes in the 2026 Rio Grande do Norte Senate election?<1¢
- Will Rafael Motta win the second-most votes in the 2026 Rio Grande do Norte Senate election?6¢
- Will Rosália Fernandes win the second-most votes in the 2026 Rio Grande do Norte Senate election?1¢
- Will Samanda de Lula win the second-most votes in the 2026 Rio Grande do Norte Senate election?26¢
- Will Sandro Pimentel win the second-most votes in the 2026 Rio Grande do Norte Senate election?<1¢
- Will Sonia Godeiro win the second-most votes in the 2026 Rio Grande do Norte Senate election?<1¢
- Will Styvenson Valentim win the second-most votes in the 2026 Rio Grande do Norte Senate election?21¢
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Rio Grande do Norte is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Recent AtlasIntel and Exatus polling for the October 2026 Rio Grande do Norte Senate race shows Styvenson Valentim (Podemos) leading overall while Samanda de Lula (PT), Coronel Hélio (PL), Rafael Motta (PDT), and incumbent Zenaide Maia (PSD) remain in technical tie for the second seat, with margins inside the survey error. Voter choice of two names, combined with fragmented coalitions and overlapping regional bases across the state, sustains this contest. Campaign alignments with gubernatorial tickets and limited late-cycle shifts have so far prevented any challenger from consolidating a clear advantage behind the leader, keeping implied probabilities clustered and sensitive to turnout patterns or last-minute endorsements ahead of the first-round vote.