Florida Governor Republican Primary Winner
- Will Byron Donalds be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?98¢
- Will Wilton Simpson be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?<1¢
- Will Casey DeSantis be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?<1¢
- Will Matt Gaetz be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?<1¢
- Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?2¢
- Will Jay Collins be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?<1¢
- Will Jimmy Patronis be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?<1¢
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Florida, scheduled to take place on August 18, 2026. If no 2026 Florida Republican Gubernatorial Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Florida Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Byron Donalds holds a commanding lead in the Florida Republican primary for governor, scheduled for August 18, 2026, driven by President Trump's explicit endorsement, consistent double-digit polling advantages among likely GOP voters, and a substantial fundraising edge exceeding $10 million. Recent surveys show Donalds near or above 49 percent support, far ahead of Lt. Gov. Jay Collins and other contenders including James Fishback. This positioning reflects broad alignment with key party figures and voters despite Gov. Ron DeSantis withholding an endorsement amid prior tensions. With the primary just days away, scenarios that could alter the outcome remain limited but include any unforeseen late developments such as significant campaign disruptions or shifts in voter turnout among core Republican blocs.