- Will the Buffalo Bills have more than 8.5 wins during the 2026 NFL season?95¢95%
- Will the Buffalo Bills have more than 9.5 wins during the 2026 NFL season?93¢93%
- Will the Buffalo Bills have more than 10.5 wins during the 2026 NFL season?89¢89%
- Will the Buffalo Bills have more than 11.5 wins during the 2026 NFL season?82¢82%
- Will the Buffalo Bills have more than 12.5 wins during the 2026 NFL season?64¢64%
The Buffalo Bills sit at 5-1 through Week 6 of the 2026 season, first in the AFC East, after gritty wins over the Rams and Raiders that featured Josh Allen’s multi-touchdown output and late-game heroics. Traders price the win total near 12.5 largely because of Allen’s sustained elite production under new head coach Joe Brady and a favorable remaining schedule against weaker division foes. However, the defense ranks near the bottom in yards allowed and pass coverage, the team has turnover and penalty issues, and several key contributors including WR D.J. Moore have dealt with injuries. Models projecting closer to 11 wins reflect the risk that these defensive and situational factors could cap the total despite the current record.
Rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed team's regular season win total exceeds the listed number. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". Only official regular-season games count. Playoff games, including Wild Card, Divisional, Conference Championship, and Pro Football Championship games, do not count. Only played games resulting in a win will count toward this total. If the listed team plays fewer games than scheduled due to cancellation, weather, forfeit, or any other reason, only actual wins recorded count toward the total; canceled or unplayed games do not count as wins. If the 2026 NFL regular season is cancelled, postponed after February 15, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or it cannot be determined how many wins the listed team recorded within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source will be official NFL records (https://www.nfl.com); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.