- Will Jacksonville Jaguars win the 2026 AFC South?68¢
- Will Houston Texans win the 2026 AFC South?22¢
- Will Indianapolis Colts win the 2026 AFC South?5¢
- Will Tennessee Titans win the 2026 AFC South?1¢
Jacksonville Jaguars hold a commanding 4-1 record and two-game lead in the AFC South through Week 5, backed by the NFL’s top-ranked defense that has allowed just 14.0 points per game and produced a +53 point differential. Traders have priced this dominance into a 75.5% implied probability for the Jaguars to claim the division title. The Houston Texans sit at 1-4 despite a recent win over the Titans, with three close losses highlighting execution issues under DeMeco Ryans. Indianapolis Colts stand at 2-3 after competitive but inconsistent results marred by injuries, while the winless Tennessee Titans have scored just 58 points across five games. Upcoming divisional matchups, beginning with the Jaguars hosting the Texans in London, will test whether the current gap narrows.
Rules
This market will resolve according to the team that is declared as the AFC South division champion for the 2026 NFL regular season. If multiple teams tie atop the division, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the NFL. If the 2026 NFL regular season is cancelled, postponed after January 17, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this division within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.